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The 2025 Preakness Stakes: A High-Stakes Drama Unfolds
The absence of Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty has turned the 2025 Preakness Stakes into a wide-open battleground. With Journalism now leading the charge and unexpected contenders emerging, this year’s race at Pimlico promises edge-of-the-seat excitement. The shifting odds, last-minute scratches, and expert predictions create a narrative ripe with tension and possibility.
The Favorites: Who’s Leading the Pack?
Journalism: The New Frontrunner
After a strong second-place finish at the Kentucky Derby, Journalism (8-5 odds) has surged to the top of the Preakness betting boards. His three graded-stakes wins showcase both speed and endurance, making him the horse to beat. Positioned in post 2, he has a tactical advantage—clear early positioning without getting boxed in.
Sandman: The Steady Challenger
At 7-2 odds, Sandman is a reliable force. His consistency in previous races suggests he’ll be a major factor, especially if Journalism falters. Sandman thrives in tight races, often surging late—a dangerous trait in a field where early speed may fade.
The Wild Cards: Dark Horses and Longshots
Clever Again: The Expert’s Sleeper Pick
Despite his 6-1 odds, Clever Again has caught the eye of handicapper Jody Demling, who correctly predicted the last two Preakness trifectas. If Demling’s instincts hold, this longshot could disrupt the favorites. His running style—patient with a strong closing kick—could pay off if the pace is aggressive early.
Goal Oriented: The Underdog with Bite
At 5-1, Goal Oriented isn’t getting the same attention as Journalism, but his recent workouts hint at untapped potential. If he can stay within striking distance, his late acceleration might surprise the field.
American Promise: Redemption Arc?
After a dismal Kentucky Derby (16th place), American Promise’s 15-1 odds reflect skepticism. Yet, history shows that Derby underperformers sometimes rebound at Pimlico. If he channels his earlier season form, he could crash the podium.
The Missing Piece: Rodriguez’s Absence
Rodriguez’s withdrawal (foot injury) at 3-1 odds reshuffled the race dynamics. His speed would’ve pressured Journalism early; without him, the pace might be more controlled, favoring closers like Clever Again. His absence also opens opportunities for mid-pack runners to secure better positioning.
Key Factors That Could Decide the Race
Post Positions and Early Speed
– Journalism (Post 2): Ideal for avoiding traffic.
– Clever Again (Wide Post): Needs a clean break to avoid losing ground.
– Sandman (Mid-Gate): Can track the leaders without burning energy early.
A slow pace could turn this into a sprint finish, favoring Journalism. But if multiple horses push early, it sets up for a closer like Clever Again or Sandman.
Jockey Decisions
Will Journalism’s rider take the lead early or sit just off the pace? Will Clever Again’s jockey hold him back for a late burst? Tactical choices in the first half-mile could determine the winner.
Expert Predictions: Trust the Trends?
Jody Demling’s endorsement of Clever Again is notable—his recent Preakness success lends credibility. Meanwhile, oddsmakers still favor Journalism’s raw ability. The clash between analytics (Journalism’s stats) and intuition (Demling’s sleeper pick) adds intrigue.
Conclusion: A Race Defined by Opportunity
This isn’t just a contest of speed—it’s a test of adaptability. With no clear dominant force (thanks to Sovereignty’s absence), the 2025 Preakness Stakes is anyone’s to claim. Journalism has the pedigree, Sandman the consistency, and Clever Again the dark-horse momentum.
Final Thought: In horse racing, surprises are the only certainty. Whether it’s Journalism cementing his legacy or Clever Again defying odds, Pimlico’s finish line will crown a champion forged in unpredictability.
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